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SURPASS-2: tirzepatide versus semaglutide 1 mg in type 2 diabetes

1879 patients, 40 weeks, three tirzepatide doses against semaglutide 1 mg. Primary endpoint was HbA1c, not weight: -2.01 to -2.30 versus -1.86 percentage points.

By FormBlends editorial teamUpdated September 4, 2026Educational, not medical advice

SURPASS-2 is a diabetes trial, which means its primary endpoint is blood sugar. It is included here because it is the earliest head-to-head between tirzepatide and semaglutide, and because its weight numbers are quoted more often than its HbA1c numbers.

What the trial asked

Whether tirzepatide at 5, 10 or 15 mg is noninferior, and then superior, to semaglutide 1 mg for lowering HbA1c in people with type 2 diabetes.

Design

Phase 3, open-label, randomised 1:1:1:1, 40 weeks. Note the comparator: semaglutide 1 mg, the diabetes dose at the time, not the 2.4 mg weight-management dose used in STEP 1 or the 1.7 to 2.4 mg used in SURMOUNT-5.

Who was enrolled

1879 patients with type 2 diabetes. Baseline mean HbA1c was 8.28 percent, mean age 56.6 years, mean weight 93.7 kg.

Primary endpoint and result

Primary endpoint: change in HbA1c from baseline to week 40.

ArmHbA1c changeDifference vs semaglutide 1 mg (95% CI)
Tirzepatide 5 mg-2.01 points-0.15 (-0.28 to -0.03); P=0.02
Tirzepatide 10 mg-2.24 points-0.39 (-0.51 to -0.26); P less than 0.001
Tirzepatide 15 mg-2.30 points-0.45 (-0.57 to -0.32); P less than 0.001
Semaglutide 1 mg-1.86 points

Tirzepatide was noninferior and superior to semaglutide at every dose.

Key secondary results

Body weight fell more with tirzepatide than with semaglutide: least-squares mean differences of -1.9 kg (5 mg), -3.6 kg (10 mg) and -5.5 kg (15 mg), all P less than 0.001. The abstract gives only the differences, not the absolute change in each arm, so the explorer lists these arms without a bar.

Adverse events and discontinuation

Gastrointestinal events were most common and mainly mild to moderate. Nausea: 17 to 22 percent across tirzepatide doses and 18 percent with semaglutide. Diarrhoea: 13 to 16 percent and 12 percent. Vomiting: 6 to 10 percent and 8 percent. Hypoglycaemia (glucose under 54 mg/dL): 0.6, 0.2 and 1.7 percent on 5, 10 and 15 mg versus 0.4 percent on semaglutide. Serious adverse events: 5 to 7 percent with tirzepatide, 3 percent with semaglutide. The abstract does not give discontinuation percentages.

Funding and registration

Eli Lilly. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03987919.

What this trial does not show

  • It is not a weight-loss trial. Participants were selected for diabetes, not obesity, and weight was secondary.
  • The semaglutide arm was 1 mg. Any inference about 2.4 mg semaglutide from this trial is an extrapolation.
  • Open-label, 40 weeks, no placebo arm. It cannot say how either drug compares with no treatment.
  • No cardiovascular outcomes. For semaglutide's cardiovascular trial in diabetes, see SUSTAIN-6.

Where the numbers come from

PubMed abstract of the primary paper (PubMed 34170647), fetched 4 September 2026. The weight-management versus diabetes trials guide explains why this trial's design differs from SURMOUNT.

Canonical URL: https://formblendsresearch.com/trials/surpass-2. Written by the FormBlends editorial team. This page is educational and is not medical advice; see the medical disclaimer.